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Late deciders back Republicans in Senate races despite Democratic advantage

Likely voters who decided late in seven key Senate races favor Republicans by nine points, even as Democrats maintain a overall lead ahead of the midterm elections.

FTMQ News, written by our newsroom0 views

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Picture: Washington Examiner

Voters in seven key Senate races who made up their minds within the last month favor Republican candidates by a nine-point margin, according to the Washington Examiner citing a New York Times and Siena University poll released on Sunday night. The final survey conducted before Tuesday's midterm elections shows this trend among late deciders occurring despite a broader overall lead for Democrats. [1]

NBC News reported that overall polling shows voters demanding change and seeking a check on Donald Trump, driving a strong Democratic midterm advantage. Meanwhile, Reuters reported that Trump's approval rating rose from a record low to 32 percent ahead of the election. [1][3]

The polling shift comes alongside significant drama in key state races. CNBC and AP News reported that Michigan Democratic Representative Haley Stevens endorsed Republican nominee Mike Rogers over Democratic candidate Abdul El-Sayed on Sunday, after losing the Democratic primary to El-Sayed earlier in the year. The Washington Post reported that outside groups are spending millions of dollars on advertisements to weaken Black support for El-Sayed, while Republicans make an aggressive push for Black voters in Michigan. [2][4][5][6]

As FTMQ News reported earlier, previous New York Times and Siena University polling tracked late shifts in major contests leading up to the midterms. Voters head to the polls on Tuesday to decide control of Congress. [1][11]

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In short

  • Voters who decided within the last month in seven key Senate races favor Republicans by nine points.
  • A final New York Times and Siena University poll was released on Sunday night before the midterm elections.
  • Democratic Representative Haley Stevens endorsed Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers in Michigan.
  • Donald Trump's approval rating rose to 32 percent ahead of the midterm elections.

Sources

Every paragraph above points to the numbered items it rests on. Read the originals here.

  1. [1]Late deciders favor Republicans in key Senate races by nine-point margin despite strong Democratic lead: PollWashington Examiner, 1h ago (the report this story comes from)
  2. [2]Republicans mount ‘most aggressive play’ for Black voters in Michigan Senate raceThe Washington Post, 12h ago
  3. [3]Poll: Voters demand change and a check on Trump, fueling a steep Democratic midterm advantageNBC News, 15h ago
  4. [4]Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Republican Rogers over rival El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionCNBC, 8h ago
  5. [5]Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Republican Rogers over rival El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionCNBC, 12h ago
  6. [6]Abdul El-Sayed’s Democratic rival, Haley Stevens, endorses GOP's Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate raceAP News, 9h ago

Background

  1. [7]Republican Party (United States) on Wikipedia
  2. [8]2026 United States Senate election in Alaska on Wikipedia
  3. [9]Democracy on Wikipedia
  4. [10]Senate on Grokipedia
  5. [11]Kathy Hochul leads Bruce Blakeman by 14 points in late survey FTMQ News, 4d ago
  6. [12]JD Vance leads Marco Rubio in early 2028 Republican primary poll FTMQ News, 6d ago

Our newsroom writes these reports with the help of software, from the 12 sources listed and nothing else, and checks them against those sources. Facts can still be wrong or move on; the originals are the record. Spotted a mistake? Write to daniel@monsterkong.com.

Earlier reports of ours on the same people and subjects.

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